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Reading: Ralph Fiennes’ Oscar Chances: Is ‘Conclave’ Too Subtle to Win?
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Home » OSCAR Awards » Ralph Fiennes’ Oscar Chances: Is ‘Conclave’ Too Subtle to Win?

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Ralph Fiennes’ Oscar Chances: Is ‘Conclave’ Too Subtle to Win?

Ralph Fiennes delivers one of his most nuanced performances in Conclave, but will its quiet brilliance be overshadowed by flashier, more transformative roles? A closer look at the Oscar race.

Liam Sterling
Liam Sterling
January 30, 2025
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Ralph Fiennes in Conclave

For over 30 years, Ralph Fiennes has remained one of Hollywood’s most versatile actors, effortlessly moving between grand spectacle (Harry Potter, The Grand Budapest Hotel) and intensely personal dramas (Schindler’s List, The English Patient). Despite his extraordinary body of work, however, the Oscar statuette has remained just out of reach. With Conclave, directed by Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Front), Fiennes delivers a deeply restrained, introspective performance—one that may paradoxically work against his chances at winning.

Contents
  • The Art of Quiet Performance in ‘Conclave’
  • Does the Academy Reward Subtlety?
  • Can Fiennes Defy the Odds?
  • Final Thoughts: A Victory Beyond the Oscar?

The Art of Quiet Performance in ‘Conclave’

In Conclave, Fiennes plays Cardinal Thomas Lawrence, the Dean of the College of Cardinals, who finds himself navigating a labyrinthine political and spiritual crisis following the death of the Pope. Tasked with overseeing the papal election while simultaneously grappling with his own faith and grief, Fiennes delivers a masterclass in subtle, internalized acting. There are no explosive monologues, no tear-soaked breakdowns—just a man wrestling with duty, power, and doubt in near-silence.

This is precisely the kind of performance that separates great film actors from stage-trained thespians who lean on theatricality. With just the flicker of an eye or the slightest hesitation in his voice, Fiennes reveals the Cardinal’s conflicted soul. His portrayal is immersive, delicate, and profoundly moving—but therein lies the problem.

Ralph Fiennes in Conclave

Does the Academy Reward Subtlety?

Oscar history suggests that the Best Actor race favors transformation over nuance. Voters often gravitate toward performances that require extreme physical or emotional transformations—think Gary Oldman’s prosthetic-heavy turn as Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour, or Brendan Fraser’s unrecognizable presence in The Whale. In contrast, Fiennes’ performance in Conclave is internalized, deliberate, and quiet, a style rarely rewarded in this category.

This year’s Best Actor race is stacked with heavyweight contenders, including Timothée Chalamet’s portrayal of Bob Dylan in A Complete Unknown and Sebastian Stan’s transformation into Donald Trump in The Apprentice. Both roles, steeped in real-world mimicry, are exactly the kind the Academy loves to reward. Meanwhile, Adrien Brody, fresh off a Golden Globe win, leads the race for his towering performance in The Brutalist—another historical epic tailor-made for Oscar voters.

Ralph Fiennes in Conclave

Can Fiennes Defy the Odds?

While the Academy has evolved in some ways—evidenced by unexpected Best Picture wins for Parasite and Everything Everywhere All at Once—the Best Actor category remains one of its most traditional strongholds. Joaquin Phoenix’s method-heavy turn in Joker and Will Smith’s showy portrayal of Richard Williams in King Richard reflect the continued preference for high-intensity performances.

That said, there are outliers. Anthony Hopkins’ subdued, devastating turn in The Father shocked many when he won over the late Chadwick Boseman, proving that occasionally, a performance of quiet intensity can triumph over more outwardly dramatic competition. Could Conclave pull off a similar upset?

Ralph Fiennes in Conclave

Final Thoughts: A Victory Beyond the Oscar?

Even if Fiennes does not win, Conclave remains a testament to his artistry. His performance lingers, not because of an impassioned speech or a dramatic breakdown, but because it feels utterly real. In an industry where louder often means better, Fiennes reminds us that sometimes, the most powerful performances are the ones barely spoken.

Your Turn: Do you think Ralph Fiennes deserves the Oscar this year, or will the Academy favor a flashier performance? Share your thoughts below.

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